Monday, August 27, 2012
Tug-of-war within Pakatan
Pakatan de facto leader Anwar Ibrahim is under tremendous pressure. In his effort to get enough support from his two partners to enable him become the next prime minister, PAS dan DAP - now at odds over the hudud law - are adding to his headache.
PAS' Hadi Awang recently said his party would field more candidates in other states, particularly for the Parliament seats. For a simple argument, should PKR and DAP fail to shine in the next general election, PAS will rule.
It is wrong to undermine PAS and its political strategy. Those who say PAS has no vision to form a Federal government are actually wrong.
PAS has long set that target. DAP and PKR and the whole nation are aware of it. And DAP is petrified by that idea because if PAS rules, hudud is unavoidable.
Having Kelantan and Kedah in its grip, PAS will pursue that desire and nothing can stop it. Not even Anwar who has to submit to PAS entry into Pakatan as he himself recognises how strong the 'Islamic party' is.
DAP too has to agree with the 3-corner political pact although deep inside, Lim Kit Siang, Karpal Singh, Lim Guan Eng and others hated the party so much. But as an avenue to avoid PAS getting much stronger than them, DAP and PKR were left to no choice but to admit PAS into the pact.
They realised then that PAS could stand on its own. Had PAS did so, it could have won more state and Parliament seats in 2008 national poll. And so, the distribution of seats was the only way to put PAS 'under control'.
And now, the allocation issue rises again.
PKR, which wanted to contest heavily in Sabah, has yet to find a formula to counter PAS for also wanting to try out more candidates in the state. DAP remains quiet, at least for the time being.
Penang is definitely out of PKR and PAS reach. In efforts to retain its power in the island state, DAP would want to contest in more state seats. Lim Guan Eng could compromise on Parliament seat with PKR but will not on state seats allocation.
Kedah's PAS embattled Azizan who saw no significant progress made to the state over the last four years, will also get full endorsement and support from PAS to have more candidates in the next poll. This is the only way to keep PAS dominance in the state, and DAP and PKR will have difficulty in dealing with hardliners like Hadi and Nik Aziz.
So, PKR will only have Selangor to defend. Even that, it has to sweet talk DAP. Khalid Ibrahim is having problems in controlling DAP's state assemblymen who 'bypass' his decision in many occasions.
It looks like Pakatan Rakyat needs more than just a compromise this time around. As PAS already got two states, DAP and PKR too would like to have more under their stable. While DAP is eyeing Perak and Johor, PKR is looking at Sabah, Pahang and Negri Sembilan.