Monday, August 27, 2012

Tug-of-war within Pakatan

PKR, PAS and DAP are now in a tussle over who should contest more seats and where. While Kelantan will for sure see PAS dominating the state seats, DAP will want more say for Penang and PKR will want to keep Selangor and Kedah.

Pakatan de facto leader Anwar Ibrahim is under tremendous pressure. In his effort to get enough support from his two partners to enable him become the next prime minister, PAS dan DAP - now at odds over the hudud law - are adding to his headache.

PAS' Hadi Awang recently said his party would field more candidates in other states, particularly for the Parliament seats. For a simple argument, should PKR and DAP fail to shine in the next general election, PAS will rule.

It is wrong to undermine PAS and its political strategy. Those who say PAS has no vision to form a Federal government are actually wrong.

PAS has long set that target. DAP and PKR and the whole nation are aware of it. And DAP is petrified by that idea because if PAS rules, hudud is unavoidable.

Having Kelantan and Kedah in its grip, PAS will pursue that desire and nothing can stop it. Not even Anwar who has to submit to PAS entry into Pakatan as he himself recognises how strong the 'Islamic party' is.

DAP too has to agree with the 3-corner political pact although deep inside, Lim Kit Siang, Karpal Singh, Lim Guan Eng and others hated the party so much. But as an avenue to avoid PAS getting much stronger than them, DAP and PKR were left to no choice but to admit PAS into the pact.

They realised then that PAS could stand on its own. Had PAS did so, it could have won more state and Parliament seats in 2008 national poll. And so, the distribution of seats was the only way to put PAS 'under control'.

And now, the allocation issue rises again.

PKR, which wanted to contest heavily in Sabah, has yet to find a formula to counter PAS for also wanting to try out more candidates in the state. DAP remains quiet, at least for the time being.

Penang is definitely out of PKR and PAS reach. In efforts to retain its power in the island state, DAP would want to contest in more state seats. Lim Guan Eng could compromise on Parliament seat with PKR but will not on state seats allocation.

Kedah's PAS embattled Azizan who saw no significant progress made to the state over the last four years, will also get full endorsement and support from PAS to have more candidates in the next poll. This is the only way to keep PAS dominance in the state, and DAP and PKR will have difficulty in dealing with hardliners like Hadi and Nik Aziz.

So, PKR will only have Selangor to defend. Even that, it has to sweet talk DAP. Khalid Ibrahim is having problems in controlling DAP's state assemblymen who 'bypass' his decision in many occasions.

It looks like Pakatan Rakyat needs more than just a compromise this time around. As PAS already got two states, DAP and PKR too would like to have more under their stable. While DAP is eyeing Perak and Johor, PKR is looking at Sabah, Pahang and Negri Sembilan.

Interesting, indeed!

17 comments:

wan rashid, klang said...

kalau semua parti nak tanding semua kerusi, boleh huru-hara pakatan dibuatnya.

tapi saya rasa pas akan lebih dominan kali ini.

penangan said...

salam tn,

soal agihan kerusi ini dah berlaku sejak pakatan mula2 dibentuk, cuma masa tu tak dihebahkan masalahnya.

tapi selepas pru ke-12 apabila pas, pkr dan dap masing2 dapat banyak kerusi, mereka rasa boleh menang lebih lagi jika bertanding di banyak kawasan.

sebab itulah anwar pening sangat sekarang ni. dalam pada ingin menjaga pr, dia juga perlu meletakkan kepentingan pkr di atas segala-galanya.

apa guna jadi pm kalau partinya sendiri tak dapat kerusi yang cukup dalam pakatan itu kelak!

Anonymous said...

why worry?

whether dap or pkr get more seats, they are not the hardliners.

we should worry about pas and its hudud!

i think pas should be axed from pakatan rakyat!

Anonymous said...

So, apa cerita UMNO mintak PAS bergabung atas Nama seagama?

pro-Pakatan said...

alaaaa.


sama je dengan bn. umno dan kerusi lebih, mca dan mic dan parti lain pun.

jadi, takyah la komen apa2 pasal pakatan rakyat ni!

tauke lim said...

dap is riding on anwar and hadi and nik aziz. dap wants to rule the country without pas and pkr if possible.

that also u dont know aaar!!!

elyas tanjong said...

jai,

kelantan memang susah bagi barisan untuk ambil semula tetapi selangor, kedah dan pulau pinang ada peluang.

sengketa dalam pakatan sudah memakan diri, lebih2 lagi episod timb ketua menteri pulau pinang mansor othman yang ternyata diperbudakkan oleh lim guan eng apabila membaca skrip yang disediakan oleh pejabat ketua menteri pada sidang media baru2 ini.

nampak sangat dap yang sebenarnya berkuasa dalam pakatan rakyat.

anwar pun macam dah tak boleh buat apa dah.

Anonymous said...

stop the crap la, bro!

pas will rule. it has its own strength. if it gets the boot from pakatan, it will still able to win most state and parliament seats.

u want to bet?

lim brady said...

its a political game, sir!

they simply want to show a row within pakatan but they are actually intact.

i hope barisan will not be sucked into this drama.

better watch out!

Anonymous said...

looks difficult for anwar to talk terms with them.

pas will not budge from kelantan and kedah and dap in penang.

the only solution, go dutch!

Anonymous said...

tiba2 je si mansor othman tu kata belum ada persetujuan mengenai agihan kerusi.

dia ni orang pkr atau umno?

setan punya melayu!

sirikit said...

let them bicker la.

you people in barisan should stay focus on your duty and the coming general election.

pakatan got nothing to lose if they lose the general election.

however, if bn loses, it will be the end of the pact.

pembaca banyak blog said...

eh... dah repair dah.

tadi gua baca 'within pkr...'

hehehe...

its ok bro... go on with your blogging

Anonymous said...

i believe pakatan will face a major problem prior to the general election. with pas and dap at loggerheads over hudud, and with the internal bickering inside pkr, pakatan is poised for a split if anwar fails to put things under control. mark my words for it

lauda said...

who knows dap will win more seats than pkr and pas!

and why not disband pakatan and let dap, pkr and pas stand on their own strength!

no balls or what!

Anonymous said...

where got prob within pakatan? all that happened were mere gimmicks, if you need to know.

people like anwar, kit siang and guan eng, including nik aziz and hadi are political clowns who try from time to time woo support and attention.

just ignore them lor!

zasssss!!!! said...

elok tumpu kepada agihan kerusi barisan nasional sendiri daripada menyebok hal pakatan ni.

lagipun, kalau pakatan menang, orang macam kau ni jgak akan kena cincang dulu!